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The Miami Dolphins will own the Nos. 1, 10 and 27 picks in the 2020 NFL draft, according to the 1-32 draft order projections from the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI).

The Dolphins traded cornerback Minkah Fitzpatrick to the Steelers to add another first-round pick, and they already had an extra first-rounder after trading Laremy Tunsil to the Texans.

What you need to know:
Kiper’s Big Board: Top 25 prospects »
• McShay’s updated Top 32 rankings »
• Meet the candidates for the No. 1 pick »
• Full draft rankings from Scouts Inc. »

Each week during the season, the FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model’s ratings for individual teams in addition to game locations. The order is based on the record the model believes the teams will have after 16 games, and the order is based on each team’s average draft position in the simulations.

Check out the full projection below (updated Tuesday, Oct. 8, after every Week 5 game):


Average draft position: 1.5
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 72.7%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 99.2%


Average draft position: 3.7
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 10.3%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 82.6%


Average draft position: 4.0
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 9.9%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 79.4%


Average draft position: 5.8
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 4.3%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 56.8%


Average draft position: 6.3
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 1.4%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 50.6%


Average draft position: 7.7
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 0.6%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 33.3%


Average draft position: 9.7
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 0.3%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 21.9%


Average draft position: 10
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: Less than 1%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 19.8%


Average draft position: 11.4
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: Less than 1%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 12.8%


Average draft position: 11.8
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: Less than 1%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 14%


Average draft position: 13.1
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 7.8%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 39.6%


Average draft position: 15.1
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 3.4%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 25.3%


Average draft position: 17.2
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 3.4%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 22.2%


Average draft position: 15.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 5.1%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 30.2%


Average draft position: 15.5
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 2.8%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 20.8%


Average draft position: 16.3
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 2.9%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 20.5%


Average draft position: 17.4
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 1.1%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 12.8%


Average draft position: 18.5
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 1.1%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 12.8%


Average draft position: 18.9
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 0.6%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 7.5%


Average draft position: 20.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3.5%


Average draft position: 21.1
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 7.6%


Average draft position: 21.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3.2%


Average draft position: 21.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 2.2%


Average draft position: 21.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3.8%


Average draft position: 22
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3.3%


Average draft position: 22.2
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 2.2%


Average draft position: 23.2
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 3%


Average draft position: 24.9
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Less than 1%


Average draft position: 25.1
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Less than 1%


Average draft position: 28.6
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Less than 1%


Average draft position: 26.8
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Less than 1%


Average draft position: 30.3
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: Less than 1%

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